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One Stat to Understand What Yamamoto Is Doing: 34-0 When the Dodgers Score 3 or More

Renso Herrera by Renso Herrera
octubre 6, 2026
in Baseball
0
One Stat to Understand What Yamamoto Is Doing: 34-0 When the Dodgers Score 3 or More
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 34-0 when the Los Angeles Dodgers score at least three runs behind him. In Game 3 of the 2026 NLDS at Truist Park, they gave him exactly three — and the record stayed perfect. Seven innings, 10 strikeouts, one run allowed, and a 3-1 win over the Atlanta Braves. Los Angeles now leads the series 2-1.

The Stat That Played Out to the Letter in Atlanta

The 34-0 figure was surfaced by @SleeperDodgers on X on October 6, 2026. It covers Yamamoto’s full MLB career, though it’s worth noting the original post doesn’t specify whether it includes postseason starts — that’s worth verifying against his complete game log before treating it as definitive. What is confirmed: last night happened exactly as advertised.

Kiké Hernández hit a two-run home run in the fourth inning. Freddie Freeman added a solo shot shortly after. Three runs. The exact threshold. Yamamoto did the rest: 98 pitches, 4 hits, 1 walk, and 10 strikeouts — a career postseason high, matching his 2026 regular-season strikeout peak as well.

The Dodgers’ decision to slot him into a road start wasn’t random. Yamamoto posted a sharp road split in 2026: a 1.77 ERA and .480 OPS against in 12 away starts, compared to a 3.13 ERA and .596 OPS against at home. If you were going to send him into Truist Park, this was the moment.

Why Run Support and Yamamoto Are Such a Good Match

The 34-0 record isn’t magic — it’s the logical result of what an elite starter does with a lead. Yamamoto finishes innings, doesn’t give away free runs, and doesn’t force his bullpen to clean up messes. When the Dodgers score, he protects it.

In the 2026 regular season, Yamamoto finished with a 2.53 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 182 strikeouts in 185 innings across 28 starts — completing at least five innings in every single one. The flip side of the 34-0 is also telling: most of his 9 regular-season losses came in games where the offense gave him virtually nothing to work with.

The postseason sharpens the pattern even further. Over three accumulated October runs, Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 7-1 with a 2.14 ERA in 63 innings. He was the 2025 World Series MVP against the Toronto Blue Jays, becoming just the second Asian-born pitcher to win that award after Hideki Matsui in 2009. October doesn’t rattle him. It sharpens him.

The Numbers Behind the Dominance

Here’s what Yamamoto’s 2026 Statcast profile looks like:

  • 28 starts, 185.0 innings pitched
  • ERA: 2.53 · WHIP: 0.87
  • 182 strikeouts vs. 42 walks (25.7% strikeout rate)
  • xERA: 2.94
  • Fastball: 94.7 mph average, 2,326 rpm spin rate
  • Whiff rate: 27.9%
  • Batting average against: .182
  • Exit velocity allowed: 87.7 mph
  • Barrel rate allowed: 6.5%

Against the rest of MLB, Yamamoto ranks at the 90th percentile in xERA, walk rate (BB%), and xwOBA against — all three in the elite tier.

Give the man three runs. He’ll handle the rest.

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Tags: 2026 NLDSAtlanta BravesLos Angeles DodgersMLBPitchingplayoffsYoshinobu Yamamoto
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